Weekly Outlook

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 29 MAY – 02 JUN 2017

06 Jul 18 (Fri)
08:17 am

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 29 MAY – 02 JUN 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS There will be several releases to help us gauge economic activity in emerging markets this week. May Nikkei manufacturing PMI will be announced for Taiwan, Thailand and Malaysia on Thursday and for Indonesia on Friday. There are no consensus estimate for the releases. Data are important as Thailand PMI as of April stays below critical threshold 50 at 49.8 while Taiwan is the strongest with 54.4. Malaysia and Indonesia PMI are 50.7...

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 22-26 MAY 2017

06 Jul 18 (Fri)
07:51 am

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 22-26 MAY 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS Though not any contagion effect has brought about from Brazil political crisis, it seems that such events remind investors that fragilities in emerging markets prevail and might not worth taking the risk for return. On top of Trump’s move to fire FBI Chief, it is revealed on Thursday that Brazil President Michel Temer was also involved in a corruption scandal which incriminated several businessmen and political figure in the count...

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 15-18 MAY 2017

06 Jul 18 (Fri)
07:45 am

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 15-18 MAY 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS Amid recent talks between US China trade deal, fate of Chinese economy will be much more important for global financial markets. In China this week, industrial production and retail sales as two important growth indicators will be followed this week. Industrial production in April is expected to decelerate to 7.15 from 7.6% a month ago while retail sales is also expected to ease to 10.6% from 10.9% in March. Realization in line wi...

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 8-12 MAY 2017

06 Jul 18 (Fri)
07:38 am

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 8-12 MAY 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS Tumbling commodity prices as well as rise in China interbank rates this week to a level not seen in the last two years mainly due to President Xi’s statements about regulatory framework to manage financial risk (i.e. shadow banking system) have somewhat dented the risk appetite in Asian markets. Both mining share prices and commodities dependent currencies such as ruble have tumbled. China: Mar...

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 1-5 MAY 2017

06 Jul 18 (Fri)
07:33 am

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 1-5 MAY 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS Korean missile tests continue to tense the country’s relations with US and tension spreads over Asia, primarily China. However, higher than expected growth in China, heightened risk appetite in emerging markets as well as upward revision in IMF’s global and China growth estimates keep market activity live. Note that IMF, in its latest World Economic Outlook report revised up China’s growth estimate to 6.58% from 6.17%.

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 24-28 April 2017

06 Jul 18 (Fri)
07:27 am

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 24-28 April 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS Though higher than expected GDP growth in China last week triggered a wave of optimism exacerbated by upward revision in IMF’s global growth estimates after 6 years, markets tend to move in a cautious way. Higher growth in China seems to have frightened investors in the sense that growth might have peaked and slowdown might start from now on. Tension with US over North Korea prevails in the meantime with US’s pressure over China a...

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