Weekly Outlook

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 20-24 February 2017

05 Jul 18 (Thu)
02:35 pm

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 20-24 February 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS It’s been a quite favorable week for emerging markets with equity markets attracting highest inflows since last August, showing the risk appetite grown with Trump’s expected boost to economy. Total inflow to emerging market economies has been $2.7bln last week, adding to the positive mood. Janet Yellen’s statements hinting that Fed rate hikes might come earlier than previously expected were also not able to curb the sentiment. Though dollar index has rebounded to over 100 again, investors are not expecting to be long lived as Tru...

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 13-17 February 2017

05 Jul 18 (Thu)
02:17 pm

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 13-17 February 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS Rising hopes for a breakthrough in another Greece bailout for its €7bln redemption due July seems to have provided sort of a relief in emerging markets although fragile indebtedness and Greece’s reluctance to meet Troika’s requirements like cuts in pension costs still keeps the issue on top agenda among 2017’s fragilities. On US-China front, tension seems to have eased a bit between two countries with Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping’s phone call over the week that revealed Trump’s commitment to One China policy, recognizin...

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 6-10 February 2017

05 Jul 18 (Thu)
01:59 pm

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 6-10 February 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS There will not be a heavy data agenda in emerging markets this week. China FX reserves which is widely followed to assess the fragility of Chinese economy stood at $3.01 trn in December. Data will be announced on Tuesday and although there is no consensus estimate for the data, Chinese policy to protect the value of Yuan leads to an erosion in FX reserves and consensus is that reserves will be unable to stay above $3 trn for a long time. Hence, any drop in reserves raises the concerns over deduction in Chinese reserves and create...

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 30 January – 3 February 2017

03 Jul 18 (Tue)
03:05 pm

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 30 January – 3 February 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS Main event of the week has been Donald Trump’s immediate actions after inauguration in January 20 like cancelling partnership in Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) and making an executive order to construct a border wall with Mexico. At the weekend by another move, Trump signed another executive order that limits immigration and refugees from some Muslim countries. The order suspends the refugee admissions progr...

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 23-27 January 2017

03 Jul 18 (Tue)
02:56 pm

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 23-27 January 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS Main event of the week was Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 20 and the market reaction was not as harsh as expected in neither developed nor emerging markets. Rather emerging market currencies have somewhat strengthened on Friday in a mild recovery in risk appetite. Mexican peso gained almost 1% against USD, though it still hovers at its all-time lows against USD. Yet, it is too early to conclude that Trump’s taking his post...

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 16-20 January 2017

03 Jul 18 (Tue)
02:47 pm

WEEKLY OUTLOOK 16-20 January 2017

A QUICK LOOK AT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS EMERGING MARKETS It’s been a quite volatile week for global financial markets ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 20. Mexican peso together with Turkish lira have been the worst performers, the latter hurt by the expectation that Trump will fault free-trade deals that he blamed for costing U.S. jobs. Though Trump has not been vocal about the issue since he got elected as the President, volatility is likely to continue until specifics o...

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